HM
HECLA MINING CO/DE/ (HL)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue was $245.1M, essentially flat versus Q2 and the second-highest in company history; GAAP EPS was $0.00, adjusted EPS $0.03, and Adjusted EBITDA $88.9M, while free cash flow was -$0.7M .
- Silver segment revenues were strong, but operational issues impacted production: Greens Creek had 5 days of unplanned SAG mill maintenance and Keno Hill’s mill was offline ~35 days due to permitting delays following the Eagle Gold heap leach failure; Lucky Friday posted the second-highest mill throughput in its 80-year history .
- Guidance was tightened: silver production was lowered at Greens Creek and Lucky Friday; Lucky Friday’s cost guidance was raised; Casa Berardi and Keno Hill production/cost outlooks were affirmed; total 2024 silver guidance moved to 16.0–17.0 Moz (from 16.5–17.5 Moz) .
- Deleveraging continued: total debt fell $50.6M Q/Q and net leverage improved to 1.8x, aided by ATM proceeds and insurance receipts; the company reiterated an intent to further reduce revolver borrowings at current price/production levels .
- CEO transition: Rob Krcmarov named President & CEO effective Nov 7; management emphasized disciplined capital allocation, focus on internal growth, and a stakeholder-first approach at Keno Hill (First Nation of Na-Cho Nyäk Dun, Yukon Government) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Silver segment revenue strength and operational resilience: “record silver segment revenues” and second-highest company revenues driven by strong silver/gold price realizations and segment performance .
- Greens Creek free cash flow and cash generation: $54.1M CFO and $46.9M FCF for Q3; YTD FCF surpassed $100M at Greens Creek .
- Deleveraging: reduced total debt by $50.6M; net leverage cut to 1.8x; CFO highlighted use of ATM proceeds and insurance to pay down revolver .
What Went Wrong
- Operational interruptions: Greens Creek saw 5 days of unplanned SAG mill maintenance (plus 2 days in October) impacting throughput and by-product credits; Lucky Friday faced higher maintenance/contractor costs; Keno Hill’s mill downtime (~35 days) due to permitting delays .
- Consolidated silver costs rose Q/Q: Silver cash cost increased to $4.46/oz and AISC to $15.29/oz, reflecting lower silver production/by-product credits and inventory drawdowns at Greens Creek .
- Non-cash write-down: $14.5M write-down (mostly remote vein miner) following vendor exit and improved Underhand Closed Bench method at Lucky Friday; ramp-up/suspension costs increased to $13.7M on Keno Hill throughput delays .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown – Q3 2024:
Key KPIs and balance metrics:
Note: For Q3 estimates comparisons, S&P Global consensus was unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Interim CEO Cassandra Boggs: “Hecla produced 3.6 million ounces of silver in the third quarter… Strong performance from our silver operations has generated free cash flow of $170 million year-to-date… reducing total debt by $50.6 million” . On Keno Hill: “We are prioritizing building the foundation… valuing the perspectives of the Yukon Government and the First Nation of Na-Cho Nyäk Dun” .
- Incoming CEO Rob Krcmarov: “Hecla has a remarkable legacy… strong commitment to responsible mining… I look forward to contributing to the Company’s continued growth and success” .
- CFO Russell Lawlar: “We… issued equity under our ATM program to pay down our revolver… net leverage ratio improved to 1.8x… we also generated a small amount of revenue from copper [at Greens Creek]” .
- COO Carlos Aguiar (Greens Creek): “5 days of unplanned SAG mill maintenance… We added copper as a payable metal in our silver concentrates… strong free cash flow generation” . (Lucky Friday): “Second highest throughput… costs trended higher… revising production to 4.7–5.0 Moz and AISC to $14.5–$15/oz” . (Keno Hill): “Expenditures on production costs were $25M… cemented tails batch plant now expected mid-2025; underhand mining in 2026” .
Q&A Highlights
- Labor/contractor costs: ~45–55% of costs inclusive of contractors; contractor usage expected to decline in Q4 as project work subsides .
- Keno Hill downtime: “We were down 35 days during the third quarter” .
- Dry stack tailings capacity: plans to continue expansion into year-end and next year; “over 2 years of capacity” expected; not weather restricted .
- Strategy/M&A: CEO emphasized disciplined criteria, thorough due diligence, focus on internal asset performance; “M&A is best done from a position of strength” .
- Deleveraging target: management reiterated aim to operate “less than 2x” net leverage over time; aspiration to move towards 1x historically .
- Portfolio rationalization: review underway; focusing on near/medium-term value assets; updates likely as opportunities arise (potentially around Q2 next year) .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q3 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to data access limits. As a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Wall Street for Q3 at this time.
- Guidance adjustments imply potential estimate revisions: consolidated silver production lowered (16.0–17.0 Moz), Lucky Friday cost guidance raised, Greens Creek cost guidance lowered, and Keno Hill timelines extended; these changes likely flow into Street models for FY24–FY26 .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Greens Creek remains a robust cash engine with Q3 FCF of $46.9M and added copper payability supporting by-product credits; watch for throughput normalization post SAG VFD repair .
- Lucky Friday execution remains strong on throughput, but costs rose; 2024 silver guidance reduced and cost guidance raised—model margin compression near-term .
- Keno Hill faces stakeholder/permitting headwinds; mill downtime and revised project timelines (cemented tails Q2’25; underhand mining 2026) suggest 2025 production flat and growth deferred to 2026—key regulatory/capacity milestones are the near-term catalysts .
- Deleveraging is progressing: total debt -$50.6M Q/Q and net leverage 1.8x; continued revolver paydown expected at current price and production levels—supports equity narrative and optionality .
- Dividend policy remains active with silver-linked component ($0.01375 this quarter), reflecting realized silver price of $29.43/oz—income kicker tied to commodity tailwinds .
- Casa Berardi multi-year reset: underground ceases mid-2025 and production hiatus (2027–2032); strategic alternatives under evaluation—monitor for portfolio decisions and timing clarity .
- New CEO is a potential medium-term catalyst: expect disciplined M&A framework, internal optimization, and possible Investor Day outlining strategic priorities .